Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007212 0.008119 0.009110 0.010277 0.011616 0.013108 0.014900
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.005760 0.006985 0.008442 0.010312 0.012664 0.015545 0.019370
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.005136 0.006545 0.008318 0.010734 0.013976 0.018220 0.024277
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.004480 0.005932 0.007840 0.010567 0.014417 0.019738 0.027797
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.004046 0.005537 0.007573 0.010603 0.015078 0.021572 0.031948
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.003623 0.005099 0.007180 0.010388 0.015315 0.022775 0.035273
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.003394 0.004905 0.007103 0.010608 0.016201 0.025028 0.040530
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003139 0.004644 0.006894 0.010593 0.016699 0.026704 0.045051
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.002816 0.004248 0.006438 0.010131 0.016408 0.027029 0.047242
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.002623 0.004036 0.006247 0.010074 0.016774 0.028494 0.051682
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.002563 0.004027 0.006376 0.010558 0.018118 0.031834 0.060157
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002344 0.003742 0.006028 0.010182 0.017880 0.032240 0.062890
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002163 0.003511 0.005760 0.009940 0.017892 0.033180 0.067009
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002045 0.003379 0.005651 0.009979 0.018446 0.035261 0.073956
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001997 0.003362 0.005739 0.010386 0.019758 0.039041 0.085369
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001868 0.003193 0.005540 0.010225 0.019907 0.040405 0.091411
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001779 0.003087 0.005448 0.010259 0.020461 0.042710 0.100157
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001666 0.002929 0.005245 0.010052 0.020471 0.043793 0.106004
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001615 0.002882 0.005248 0.010264 0.021419 0.047157 0.118498
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001541 0.002786 0.005147 0.010249 0.021854 0.049368 0.128300
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001424 0.002600 0.004858 0.009805 0.021253 0.048965 0.130604
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001358 0.002509 0.004752 0.009750 0.021560 0.050880 0.140116
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001350 0.002532 0.004876 0.010216 0.023172 0.056393 0.161833